Bo Nix is positioned for a strong showing against a Las Vegas Raiders defense that struggles to generate pressure. Nix’s performance under pressure has been shaky, with a passer rating of 65.6 compared to 88.6 in a clean pocket. However, the Raiders rank 24th in PFF pass rush grading and 26th in pressure rate, which should allow Nix plenty of time to operate effectively. While the Raiders rank 11th in passing yards allowed per game (219.2), they are vulnerable in the red zone, surrendering 1.80 passing touchdowns per game, the 8th highest in the league. Their inability to force turnovers is another weakness, with just five interceptions on the season and the 7th lowest turnover-worthy throw rate forced (1.6%). Las Vegas limits big plays well, allowing the 3rd lowest deep throw rate (7.6%), largely due to their reliance on two-high safety coverages over 50% of the time. However, their defense struggles significantly after the catch, allowing the 3rd highest YAC percentage (56%). This opens the door for Nix to exploit short and intermediate throws, letting his playmakers generate yards after the catch. If Denver emphasizes quick, accurate passing, this could be a highly productive matchup for Nix, particularly in moving the ball methodically and converting in the red zone.

Not much to say about this one. The Dallas Cowboys have allowed a 67.2% completion rate 8.3 yards per pass attempt. Daniels will have no issues against this defense

Unreql spot for him to have a day! Expected to get more carries than his season average as well. Great price on him 

The Panthers are awful defending the ground alloowng 134.1 rushing yards per game over the L9 weeks and 1.3 rushing TD's rankimg #30/32. The Chiefs are not afraid to just hand him to ball. There will be a point where the Chiefs are up big and will just hand it off the Hunt. 

Marvin Harrison Jr. has been a steady target in Arizona’s offense, seeing 5+ targets in every healthy game since Week 1. Coming off Bye week I expect rhe Murray and Harrison combo to be in full effect this evening

Kelce is coming off one of the worst games in maybe his entire career on Sunday against Buffalo. He had an incredibly bad 8 yards on just 2 catches. In the game, he only had 0.31 yards per route run, which was his 2nd lowest of the year, and also wasn’t really being looked at often by Mahomes with only a 15.4% target rate per route in that game. Carolina, as earlier mentioned, lines up in Cover 3 on 44.9% of their defensive snaps, which is the most in the NFL. Kelce is absolutely feasted against Cover 3, seeing 35.4% of the team targets against it over the last 4 games (since the Hopkins trade), and this is including last week’s dud for Travis. The Panthers have been hit hard by tight ends all year, allowing 8.9 yards per target to the TE position, which ranks 3rd most in the NFL. I do not see one of the league’s best tight ends staying silent again in such a ripe bounceback spot. Look for a big game for Travis Kelce in this spot.

Goedert is averaging 55.3 receiving yards per game, 2.32 YPRR and has been targeted on 22% of his routes. He is 3^rd on the team in 1^st-read rate at 21.3% and with DeVonta out, should see extra volume. He’ll face a Rams defense that allows the 5^th most receiving yards to opposing TEs. They run single high 55.5% of the time (10^th highest frequency) and allow 0.59 fantasy points per drop back when in this scheme (worst in the NFL). They run zone coverage 71.8% of the time (10^th highest) and allow the 2^nd most fantasy points per drop back while in this coverage. Against single-high, Goedert averages 3.13 YPRR and has been targeted on 24% of his routes, a positive split. Against zone coverage, Goedert is averaging 2.33 YPRR and has been targeted on 24% of his routes. The Rams allow the 6^th highest inline target share (12.8%), where Goedert lines up on 38.9% of his routes. Bullish matchup for Goedert without Smith.

Bowers has really been the true WR1 in this offense, especially after coming off a 16 target, 13 reception game this past week. He has 5+ receptions in each of the last 6 weeks. He has 45+ receiving yards in each of his L6 as well. The matchup isn’t great for Brock, as DEN allows the 10th fewest receiving yards to opposing TE’s this season, however they allow the 14th most receptions per game. Either way, Bowers is the primary target in this offense and his lines are still very reasonable. Could have a big day