Play #1

Josh Jacobs O 22.5 1st Q Rush Yds (-113)❌

@fanduel

Jacobs has cleared this Q1 mark in 8 of his last 10 games (avg 31.3/game), 6 of 7 home games and 8 of 10 when GB wins.NO's defense ranks 31st, according to PFF grading and GB's early commitment to the run gives us a nice floor here. He's averaging 6.3 Q1 rushing attempts per game over his last 10. NO has allowed the 9th most rushing yards per game (104.9) this season.The Spencer Rattler lead offense will likely struggle in this one. Last week against WSH they didn't have a drive that lasted longer than 6 plays in the entire 1st half, including a pair of 3 and ours and a turnover. Jacobs also came out this past week and said he wanted to continue to shoulder the load and that he feels really healthy heading into this week. 

Play #2

Juwan Johnson O 29.5 Receiving Yds (-120)❌

@Draftkings

Without Alvin Kamara tonight Spencer Rattler is going to have to find another guy to check it down to for short passes and that is Juwan Johnson .Green Bay’s defense is not that good vs TE’s as they allow 7th most Rec yards, 13th most Rec attempts, 6th most rec. The Saints will need someone to step up and I believe that will be Juwan as he has the most connection with the play callers and is the only starter remaining that is healthy for the saints. Saints will most likely be losing in this game and will be forced to pass it a lot and I could honestly see Juwan going for 50+ but Saints love to throw it to both TE’s but I easily believe Juwan reaches this line

CTB Lotto (+430)

PLAY #1

Ladd McConkey 60+ Rec Yds -144✅

@Fanduel

He is over this line in 5/L7 games and I expect him to continue to dominate especially against a Broncos defense where he saw 8 targets in 4 receptions for 43 yards. Interesting thing in that game though was the Chargers  took the foot off the pedal and he only threw it 8 times in the 2H. The Broncos are a great matchup for him. They run man at the 5th HIGHEST rate in the NFL this season. Ladd has been great against man. He is averaging 3.41 YPRR which is the HIGHESF in the BFL with as many routes as him and has a separation score of 0.315. He is not on injury report which is a good thing. Look for him to COOK!

PLAY #2 

Devaughn Vele 'O' 33.5 Rec Yds -110❌

@Fanduel 

Vele had 78 YARDS vs the Chargers earlier this season and I expect him to cook again. The Chargers run the 2nd MOST Zone in the NFL and Vele has had 66+ Yards in 2/3 games vs teams Top 10 in zone this year. All we need is 34+ yards here!