Play #1

Andrew Nembhard 'O' 11.5 Pts -122

@Fanduel

Hit in 6 of L7 games as he’s become a higher usage rate player for this Pacers team. His usage rate has been above 19% in 7 of L7. 85% hit rate L20 dating back to last season when he has a usage rate above 17%. Decent matchup as Miami allows the 5th most Pts to SG L15 and coach Spoelstra will likely focus on Hali. This is another guy that’s been a wagon for us and I’ll trust him in this spot.

Play #2

Bennedict Mathurin 'O' 5.5 Reb -114

@Fanduel

One of the most consistent part of Mathurin game this year has been rebounding. He is an athletic guard who crashes the glass hard. On the season he is averaging 6.2 rebounds per game having 6+ in 21/34! He has played 27+ minutes in 19 straight games and when getting that he has been over this in 21/30 70%. He has had 8+ rebounds in 11 of those games just showing his ability to CRUSH this low line. Today he will be facing the Heat rank #24/30 teams in rebounds allowed (45.03). Mathurin has played the Heat 2x this year and he put up 4 & 12 rebounds on 10 & 16 rebound chances. When getting 8+ rebound chances he has had 6+ rebounds in 20/22 games this year!

Play #3

Payton Prichard 'O' 7.5 Reb+Ast +116

@Fanduel

Payton Prichard only played 23 minutes last game due to a blowout and he has 10 R+A. Today he plays the Timberwolves who he played on 11/24 and he played 22 minutes and had 7 R+A. Prior to the last game being a blowout Prichard has played 33,32,28 minutes and I’m expecting 25+ against here. When getting 25+ minutes he has been over this in 14/25 games 56% including 10/L12 overall. Also Jaylen Brown is questionable and if he is not able to go Prichard’s usage will skyrocket and he will have even more opportunities to cash this extremely low line. 

CTB Lotto +900