Play #1

Al Horford 'O' 5.5 Pts -130

@Fanduel

I don’t understand this line at all. Yes the Celtics will be with everybody today which is rare in today’s NBA game. With that being said while playing with Holiday,Porzingis,Tatum,Brown,Prichard and White he has played 23.8 minutes per game this season and yes he has scored 2,2,8,6,2,11 points in these games but in the games he went under he shit awful going a combined 3/14 from the field and 0/8 from deep. Last season when playing with all of these guys playing 20/25 minutes he had 6+ points in 13/19 games 68%. Now this is what gets interesting. When Horford gets a 5.5 line he has put up 7,11,7,7 going over in 4/4 games so in other words they should never give Horford such a disrespectful line 💯. Now Horford has been under his closing line in 6/L7 games so he is due to go over and that is why they are setting no such a low line. Now today he has a great matchup facing the Raptors who allow the 3rd MOST PPG and he has faced them 2x this season scoring 18 & 0. Now in his last game against them he played 21 minutes and was 0/7 from the field and 0/6 from deep. He got the chances just didn’t knock em down. Now this game is @TOR and he has scored 6+ points in 8/L9 games there. He has shot a combined 8/15 from the field 53.3% and 5/8 from deep in his last 2 games @TOR. 6 points is way to low and he has the potential to have a big day

Play #2

Scottie Barnes 'U' 20.5 Pts -146

@Fanduel

This is simply what he has done when he faces Porzingis. He has had 17,11,14,12,13,10,14,10 points in 8 games against him 👀. Barnes last year went under his closing line a lot as well. He is due to go under his closing line @Home as well going over in 4 straight but prior to this stretch he was under in 7/13 games.

Play #3

Paul George 3+ threes made -125

@Fanduel

After starting the season struggling from 3, PG has now hit 3+ 3PTM in 6 straight. He also shot 7 for 11 earlier in the season in this same matchup, that was when he was struggling. Last season, he hit this at a 73% rate when he played 30+ mins. The Knicks allow the 6th most 3PTM to SF L15 and are the worst ranked defense against PnR ball handler, which accounts for 22% of PGs point production, some of which have been pull-up 3s.

CTB Lotto +1243