Play #1

Anthony Edwards 'U' 5.5 Ast -145

@Draftkings

He has put up 7 & 6 assist the L2 games while seeing a 3.5/4.5 line. Now today he gets a 5.5 line and that is just way too high. On the season when seeing such a line he has under achieved his expectations in 6/6 games putting up 3,4,4,3,4,3 assist. Today he faces the Wizards who are awful defensively but last season he put up 3,5,7 assist against them going under in 2/3 games. Not only that but the Wizards rank #27/30 in assist allowed but when Edwards has faced teams ranking #23/30 in assist allowed he has been under this line in 9/10 games

Play #2

Jaime Jaquez O 21.5 PRA -111

@Fanduel

Jaime has been playing a key role & heavy minutes with Jimmy out with suspension. He’s over in 70% of L30 games when he plays 28+ mins & usage rate of 15%+. Now looking closer at his minutes, he was forced to go to the bench early against POR with foul trouble & did not play the 4th against GSW due to a blow out. In the other 3 games he played 34.1, 36.2 and 35.6 regulation time minutes. I project him to see about 35 here in a competitive game. With Jimmy Butler off the court this season, Jaime is averaging 26.99 PRA per 36 minutes. I project this line closer to 23.5-24.5 PRA. The Clippers allow the 9th most points & 6th most assists to SF L15. This is also a narrative play as Jaquez grew up right outside of LA in Irvine, CA

Play #3

Dennis Schroder 'U' 6.5 Ast -120