Play #1
Immanuel Quickley 'O' 22.5 PA -125
@Fanduel
Been waiting for a good matchup to finally back my guy, and we finally get that!He’s played 30+ in every game post injury, and he had a 71% hit rate last season when he played 30+ with Scottie & Barrett.From a matchup perspective, the Pistons allow the most pull-up FGM L15 & IQ leads the Raptors in pull-up PPG (6.3). They are also the 6th worst ranked PnR ball handler defense, which accounts for 31% of IQ’s scoring production.From a shot location perspective, the Pistons are the 3rd worst ranked team against above the break 3s, which accounts for 43% of IQ’s FGAs. They are also ranked 6th worst defending the short midrange area, where another 21% of Quickley’s FGAs are from.It’s an average matchup in terms of assists but I like the upside here as he’s averaging 9.4 adjusted assists in the 5 games since he returned from injury. These included some tough matchup against some elite teams, like this buy low opportunity!
Play #2
Devin Booker 'O' 7.5 Ast -130
@Fanduel
Devin Booker draws a good matchup today as he plays the Utah Jazz. They allow the 6th most assist per game agaisnt shooting guards and the 4th most assist per game at 29 assist per game. He has been over this line in his last 5 games having 9,9,10,10,12 Ast. Last game he had 21 potential assist. I look for D-Book to stay hot on the assist column and go over his line once again against one of the worst teams when it comes to giving up assist.
Play #3
Toumani Camara ‘U’ 9.5 Points +100
@Fanduel
This is a trap spot! Over the last 6 games he has been over his closing line putting up 12,18,15,12,15,11 points and yet his line sticks at 9.5. Today he faces a Heat defense that is one of the best allowing the 7th fewest PPG. I’m not overthinking this one! He goes under 9.5 points.