Play #1
Buddy Hield 'O' 17.5 Pts -125
@Draftkings
This Warriors team will be without Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandon Podziemski, Andrew Wiggins. Now with that being said this opens up a spot where Buddy Hield (A guy who lets it fly) to step and be a scorer against a Pacers team that is simply not good defensively. Buddy Hield has had a closing line of 17.5 2x this season he went on to score 28 & 21 points and he ended up shooting 18 & 19 FGA’s. He has the chance to have a big day scoring wise and the chances will be here. Also this is his first time back @IND since being traded away. He will want to put on a show in front of ole Ricky
Play #2
Josh Hart 'O' 9.5 Reb -111
@Fanduel
Going back to our guy for the third time! Hart has double-digit rebounds in 8 of his last 9 games, with his only miss against this OKC team. As we've discussed in the past, they do remain a good matchup for rebounds (2nd most per game). Over the last 10 Hart is averaging 19.1 rebound chances per game, which is only 3 Reb chances behind KAT. In a big game, he should be a lock to see 40+ mins here too, barring OKC blowing them out unexpectedly.
Play #3
Damian Lillard 'U' 3.5 Three Pt made -162
@Fanduel
Lillard has cleared this mark in each of his last 2, but on really good efficiency:
Vs SAS: 4 for 7
Vs TOR: 5 for 8
Before these last 2, he had been under this mark in 5 of 7. Today he gets a brutal matchup against ORL, who allow the fewest 3-pointers made per game this season. They have good perimeter defense and play at a slow pace.He played this Magic team in December and in 39 mins shot 2 for 5 from three. Lillard saw mostly Suggs in that game, who is out for awhile, but will likely see plenty of KCP today. KCP is an excellent perimeter defender. The Magic also may get Banchero back today as well.The Magic play at a slow pace, in fact, the slowest pace in the league this season. Slower pace = fewer possessions. The Bucks play at the 11th fastest pace so this is definitely a pace down spot for them.Fading Lillard threes is never a super fun bet, but this looks like a nice spot to do it.