Anytime Touchdown Picks
(KC) Kareem Hunt 1+ TD -115
Did not get a TD last week but has had 4+ redzone rush attempts in 4 straight games. Bills also allow the most Rec Yds to RB’s so could get on through the air. He had a team high 10 targets last game which is a good sign. Love it
(CHI) D'Andre Swift 1+ TD +120
Has not had a TD in 2 straight week but prior to these 2 games he had a TD in 4 straight. I expect him to get back on track and find the endzone against a Packers team that give up a lot of big plays on the ground and can get beat through the air as well.
(ATL) Tyler Allgeier 1+ TD +360
The Falcons tried getting him a TD but got stopped 3 straight times at the 1 yard line. They didn't have any Oppurtunites for Allgeier the rest of the game. I expect them to give Allgeier a chance if they get inside the redzone
First Touchdown Picks
(IND) Jonathan Taylor +600
JT gets a boost with Richardson back under center, given the dual-threat nature that NYJ will have to be concerned about. JT has been one of the few bright spots for this IND offense and NYJ’s defense has been brutal this season. They are allowing 0.7 RB ruhsing TD’s per game this season.
(MIA) De'Von Achane +400
Mostert was a surprise benching last week, and as a result Achane has gotten more work inside the redzone. He can score both on the ground and through the air and the Hill/Waddle combo hasn’t been as great this season.
(DEN) Courtland Sutton +1000
Another guy I’ve been talking a lot about, Sutton has just had an insane target share (~30%) the last 3 weeks. He gets a great matchup vs a ‘meh’ Saints secondary that is now without Lattimore.