Play #1

Demar Derozan 'O' 3.5 Ast +108

@Fanduel

We'll start with a little +EV talk here. This line is close to +100 everywhere else, including sharper books like FD and Caesars. Starting with about 20 points of value is. DeRozan has only cleared this mark in 3 of his last 6, but the potential still remain solid. Even last game, he had just one assist, but on 8 potential assists (2nd best on the team).Over his last 6, DeMar is averaging 7 pAsts per game. MIA is allowing the 12th most assists per game. Like the price here!

Play #2

James Harden 'U' 20.5 Pts -160

@Fanduel

Scored only 10 points with a usage rate of 20% in his first game with Kawhi back.Last season, he was under this in 70% of games when Kawhi played and his average usage rate was 21%. Yes, PG was also there, but Norman Powell has essentially taken that role over.Harden is under in 75% of games this season when his usage rate is under 30%. Fully expect him to become more of a facilitator with Kawhi back.Concerning Kawhi’s minutes, he actually played 15.8 in the 1H, he was on pace for 30+. None of the starters played the 4Q due to the blowout. Expecting a good amount of mins for Kawhi.

Play #3

Joel Embid 'O' 33.5 Pts+Ast -115

@Fanduel