Bears vs Vikings
Anytime Touchdown Picks
Best Pick: (MIN) Aaron Jones -110✅
@Fanduel
The Bears allow one TD to RBs on the ground per game. Since going over a month since he found the end zone, Jones has now scored in three straight games, which started when he faced the Bears three weeks ago. Historically against the Bears, Jones has scored in five of his last seven games, totalling eight TDs.
Longshot: (CHI) Rome Odunze +270❌
@Fanduel
Both Odunze and Moore lead the Bears in red zone targets over the past month with six. Now, with Johnson out of the lineup and not stealing carries in the red zone –– and how the team doesn't trust Swift in that role –– we should see Odunze get at least one target. Here's to hoping he can take advantage of his matchup and come through for us.
First Touchdown Picks
Best Pick: (MIN) Jordan Addison +850❌
The Vikings have scored the first TD in eight of 13 games this season: Two from Jones, Jefferson and Addison, one from Josh Oliver and one from Cam Akers. Addison seems to always catch a deep ball that has the threat to score, why can't he get that as the first TD?
Longshot: (CHI) DJ Moore +1400❌
The Bears have scored the first TD in four of 13 games this season: Two from Roschon, one from Swift and one from Kmet. It just seems like the WRs crack for one, doesn't it? Since we took Odunze anytime, lets take the other leader in red zone targets in DJ Moore.
Falcons vs Raiders
Anytime Touchdown Picks
Best Bet: (ATL) Drake London +150✅
@Fanduel
London has not found the end zone in 4 games, but he is second in the NFL among WRs with 20 red zone targets, with all of his TDs coming from within the red zone. Against the Raiders pass defense which has given up the 2nd most yards per game in the league, we can expect London to have a few chances to find the end zone tonight.
Longshot: (LV) Jakobi Meyers +200❌
@Fanduel
Behind the breakout season for Brock Bowers, who has essentially been the lone bright spot on this Raiders team, is Meyers who has racked up 743 yards. He only has 3 TDs this year, but I do not mind has chances tonight against a Falcons team that gives up a league leading 20 WR TDs on the year. If one WR is to pull down a TD, it most likely will be Meyers.
First Touchdown Picks
Best Pick: (ATL) Tyler Allgeier +1100❌
Despite Bijan Robinson being the dominant back on the Falcons, they do like to feed Allgeier inside the red zone. Allgeier gets 36% of the total carries inside the red zone, and was the scorer of last week’s first TD against the Vikings. The Raiders average at least 1 TD a game to a RB, but with this Falcons backfield I think there is a good chance for two.
Longshot: (LV) Brock Bowers +900❌
The Raiders have proven they like to go to Bowers early in games. He has scored the team’s first TD three times, and the game’s first TD in one of those 3 games. The Falcons have gotten burned by TEs in the end zone this year, averaging 0.4 TDs to the position per game, which is the 13th most in the NFL.
There was NO Touchdown in this game
Anytime Touchdown Picks
Best Pick: (SF) Jauan Jennings +150❌
@Draftkings
Jauan had 2 TDs last week and 3 TDs earlier this season when these 2 teams matched up. The Rams are allowing the 3rd most receiving TDs per game to WRs (1.31). At +150 and Jauan being the clear number 1 receiver since the injury to Brandon Aiyuk, I see a ton of value.
Longshot: (LAR) Blake Corum +500❌
@Fanduel
Corum has seen 8 carries in back-to-back weeks and may see extra work on the margin considering the short week. He’s been efficient, running for over 4 YPC in 5 straight games. This could be the game he breaks out against a divisional rival.
First Touchdown Picks
Best Pick: (SF) Patrick Taylor +500❌
@Fanduel
Patrick Taylor is likely to be the lead back with Guerendo leaving early in the 4th quarter last game. The 49ers love to establish the run game early, so I see value at +500 on the RB1 for the home team scoring first.
Longshot: (LAR) Puka Nacua +850❌
Puka has been incredible this season and has 4 TDs in the past 4 games. Last time he played against the 49ers, he scored a first quarter TD. This is a bullish matchup as highlighted in my write up earlier, like the value at +750.
